Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 82830.729800 87432.681881 92032.904530 96973.166310 102125.124095 107336.099255 113001.813114
2025-01-19 74691.229147 81696.004880 88894.800814 96835.694533 105339.064944 114161.238479 123995.638907
2025-01-26 70284.258664 79044.223149 88242.698386 98600.501444 109917.337659 121884.819687 135475.254386
2025-02-02 66970.663477 77090.513752 87909.001736 100299.614780 114061.881276 128842.341549 145879.466733
2025-02-09 63713.615311 74869.675222 86985.954782 101070.876957 116940.183466 134212.704770 154378.604848
2025-02-16 60378.291763 72309.381663 85456.477707 100947.948529 118628.919480 138105.524307 161105.866939
2025-02-23 57859.598737 70503.104934 84619.932430 101458.701173 120901.628695 142549.756591 168375.128357
2025-03-02 55366.456642 68579.635129 83516.917274 101539.807832 122576.314153 146232.647870 174719.275083
2025-03-09 53803.592298 67648.132795 83477.090356 102775.111113 125520.467275 151327.275499 182664.310787
2025-03-16 51410.173521 65618.949248 82049.603593 102289.751840 126377.455658 153948.992381 187705.627531
2025-03-23 50319.701418 65093.425853 82350.212512 103803.465416 129553.056264 159255.017733 195882.101421
2025-03-30 49015.197924 64244.077011 82208.415324 104741.059350 132010.142462 163699.873431 203049.121815
2025-04-06 47277.037638 62826.041609 81357.927818 104819.197746 133456.133129 166992.590153 208932.421700
2025-04-13 45520.586797 61325.372986 80355.162581 104668.117448 134594.852295 169906.412182 214373.393483
2025-04-20 44884.451146 61199.522111 81019.975953 106545.933083 138195.807834 175784.562905 223403.256392
2025-04-27 44263.634557 61060.190804 81642.568443 108354.224547 141706.942496 181565.590072 232348.870854
2025-05-04 43219.683932 60336.327673 81497.006834 109174.976043 143980.728297 185838.858182 239477.655356
2025-05-11 41797.855557 59073.981023 80626.627604 109044.145761 145039.953573 188607.653238 244764.154735
2025-05-18 40756.134181 58272.092856 80310.823464 109587.669104 146923.142874 192381.937516 251293.493680
2025-05-25 39568.447870 57238.126131 79661.589548 109673.976540 148206.429073 195401.436501 256892.240582
2025-06-01 38967.558621 56963.781629 79977.937504 110988.397420 151042.295778 200359.806649 264922.597757
2025-06-08 37628.373857 55655.166203 78906.893804 110471.974808 151514.496020 202343.955472 269235.819225
2025-06-15 37224.138982 55600.291897 79472.875952 112082.471300 154717.824157 207774.476639 277900.019794